Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.1) 
