Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.