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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do GrĂªmio
B

Gremio
3 - 3
Bragantino

Cristaldo (6' pen.), Suarez (56'), Galdino (62')
Vinicius (31'), Uvini (44'), Galdino (67'), Martins (76'), Nathan (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandes (9'), Sasha (53'), Borbas (90+1')
Vitinho (6'), Fernandes (40')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Gremio
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawBragantino
50.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 25.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.62% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)76.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)21.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.012999999999998 0.01)55.21% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)38.73% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.46% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 50.48%
    Bragantino 23.62%
    Draw 25.88%
GremioDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Gremio
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 23 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Santos
Sunday, April 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 4-3 Atletico Mineiro
Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Gremio
Sunday, December 5 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 3-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, December 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 0-3 Cruzeiro
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, April 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 5-0 Oriente
Tuesday, April 18 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Saturday, April 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tacuary 1-4 Bragantino
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana


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