Given the gap between Athletico Paranaense and Internacional in the standings, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of all three points. However, Scolari's side are unbeaten in seven straight home games against the Colorado and we are backing them to keep this run going by claiming a slender win this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.09) 
