Despite Thiago Silva's anticipated absence from the XI, Fluminense should take advantage of a Juventude side suffering from either suspensions or injury absences to overturn the first-leg defeat and advance to the competition's last eight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.07) 
