Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
30.92% ( 0.92)	27.61% ( 0.34)	41.47% ( -1.26)

Both teams to score 48% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.44% (

-0.95)

57.56% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.66% (

-0.76)

78.34% (

0.75)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

0.18)

33.95% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

0.2)

70.63% (

-0.2)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-1.11)

27.32% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22% (

-1.47)

62.78% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 30.92%

Palmeiras 41.47%

Draw 27.61%

America Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.92%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.47%