Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 46.09%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.09) 
