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P
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 9, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
F

Palmeiras
1 - 1
Flamengo

Dudu (24')
Mayke (35'), Rios (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De Arrascaeta (81')
Hugo (33'), Lucas (55'), Bruno (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Palmeiras 2-2 Flamengo

This should be a hugely entertaining clash between two of Brazil's biggest clubs, who have won the latest three editions of the Copa Libertadores between them. They are both chasing down runaway leaders Botafogo in the Brasileiro, making this a massively important fixture for both teams, but we can envisage them having to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Flamengo win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
62.18% (-0.84200000000001 -0.84) 20.57% (0.463 0.46) 17.25% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.67% (-1.453 -1.45)41.33% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.28% (-1.491 -1.49)63.72% (1.496 1.5)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)12.75% (0.683 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (-1.422 -1.42)39% (1.428 1.43)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (-0.433 -0.43)37.36% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.86% (-0.428 -0.43)74.14% (0.43300000000001 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 62.18%
    Flamengo 17.25%
    Draw 20.57%
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo
2-0 @ 10.1% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.81% (0.389 0.39)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.52% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.47% (-0.099 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 62.18%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.307 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 4.76% (0.079 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.251 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Palmeiras
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Bolivar
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Botafogo
Sunday, June 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, June 22 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, July 6 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fortaleza
Saturday, July 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Aucas
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Santos 2-3 Flamengo
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Flamengo
Friday, June 23 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Gremio
Sunday, June 11 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro


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