Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Flamengo had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Flamengo win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
62.18% ( -0.84) | 20.57% ( 0.46) | 17.25% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.67% ( -1.45) | 41.33% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.28% ( -1.49) | 63.72% ( 1.5) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.25% ( -0.68) | 12.75% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61% ( -1.42) | 39% ( 1.43) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.64% ( -0.43) | 37.36% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.86% ( -0.43) | 74.14% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Palmeiras | Draw | Flamengo |
2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.39) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.45% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.25% |
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