SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Fluminense |
65.77% ( 2.96) | 20.7% ( -0.37) | 13.52% ( -2.59) |
| Both teams to score 45.42% ( -5.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.9% ( -3.52) | 49.09% ( 3.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.83% ( -3.27) | 71.16% ( 3.27) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0.21) | 14.11% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.26% ( -0.42) | 41.74% ( 0.42) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.88% ( -5.82) | 47.11% ( 5.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.42% ( -4.75) | 82.57% ( 4.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 1.69) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( 1.57)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.97)3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.45)4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.52)5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.16)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.39% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.91)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.76)Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 5% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.74)0-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.38)Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.52% |
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