SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Fluminense |
54.38% ( -1.98) | 23.64% ( -0.02) | 21.97% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.58% ( 2.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 2.46) | 48.01% ( -2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 2.22) | 70.18% ( -2.22) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( 0.18) | 17.55% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( 0.31) | 48.09% ( -0.31) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 3.44) | 36.23% ( -3.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.98% ( 3.33) | 73.02% ( -3.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Fluminense |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( -1.1) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.89)3-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.64% Total : 54.38% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.67)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.97% |
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