Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 14.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.