Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 3-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.41) 
0.15) 
