Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
