Despite there being five successive 1-1 draws in previous meetings between these two sides, we can see there being a winner on Saturday, with hosts Sao Paulo surely having enough in them to record all three points.
The home side were able to rest all of their first 11 in the week, and head into the game on the back of some solid form following an excellent start to the campaign, whilst the visitors head to Sao Paulo following a tiring trip to Argentina in midweek, and with some questionable form in the Brasileiro so far this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
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