Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.
-0.82) 
0.22) 
