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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Pantanal
SP

Cuiaba
2 - 0
Sao Paulo

Pitta (4'), Clayson (42')
Fernandes (19'), Alexandre (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Moura (21'), Arboleda (38')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
36.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 29.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 33.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.32% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)64.68% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.33% (-0.038 -0.04)83.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)33.96% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)70.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)35.69% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)72.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 36.34%
    Sao Paulo 33.79%
    Draw 29.84%
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 13.48%
0-0 @ 12.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.84%
0-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 33.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, September 17 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Juventude
Friday, September 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-1 Criciuma
Saturday, August 31 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 24 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Internacional
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil


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