We said: Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Union Berlin
Union can arrest their slide at Arminia's expense, as they tend to fare well enough on their travels, while the hosts generally do better outside of Bielefeld.
The visitors have been short of punch in the final third over the past fortnight, but should have enough guile to strike at least once and return to the capital with maximum points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
