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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
WWK Arena
BM

Augsburg
1 - 0
Borussia M'bach

Berisha (82')
Dorsch (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lainer (31'), Plea (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 4-3 Augsburg
Sunday, January 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

With both sides pursuing different goals at opposite ends of the Bundesliga standings, we predict a highly-entertaining end-to-end affair at the WWK Arena culminating in a share of the spoils on Wednesday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
32.28% (-0.543 -0.54) 22.89% (0.206 0.21) 44.82% (0.337 0.34)
Both teams to score 64.35% (-1.02 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (-1.239 -1.24)36.59% (1.24 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (-1.361 -1.36)58.74% (1.361 1.36)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.89100000000001 -0.89)22.64% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-1.339 -1.34)56.27% (1.34 1.34)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (-0.355 -0.36)16.82% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2% (-0.638 -0.64)46.8% (0.639 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.28%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 44.82%
    Draw 22.89%
AugsburgDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.68% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.224 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.6% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 44.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 4-3 Augsburg
Sunday, January 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-2 Augsburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, January 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 4-2 Dortmund
Friday, November 11 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Stuttgart
Friday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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