SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
52.7% ( -0.5) | 21.53% ( 0) | 25.77% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 64.49% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.63% ( 0.46) | 34.36% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( 0.51) | 56.28% ( -0.51) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% ( 0.01) | 13.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.88% ( 0.01) | 40.11% ( -0.01) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.6) | 25.62% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( 0.81) | 60.51% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.77% |
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