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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
AL

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Augsburg

Guirassy (15'), Anton (90+1')
Pfeiffer (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Niederlechner (4')
Gruezo (13'), Rexhbecaj (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Augsburg

With the visitors missing so many key players through injury, we can envisage the hosts taking full advantage to claim only their second league win of the season. Augsburg are likely to be ruing dropping points against Leipzig from such a strong position last time out, and we can see them struggling both mentally and physically until they get more players off the treatment table and back on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawAugsburg
58.34% (0.043000000000006 0.04) 21.8% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 19.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (0.021999999999998 0.02)42.72% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.022999999999996 0.02)14.35% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79% (0.040999999999997 0.04)42.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)35.32% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)72.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 58.34%
    Augsburg 19.86%
    Draw 21.8%
StuttgartDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 10.24%
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 19.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 3-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-5 Bayern
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Augsburg
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 2-3 Augsburg
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Bayern
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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