We expect Dortmund to bounce back with a victory on Saturday, with a potential change in formation likely to suit their set of players.
Defensively, they were too wide open considering that they had a two-goal lead against Bremen, so they should have a better balance and too much overall strength for a struggling Hertha side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.28%) and 0-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.42) 
