These sides are both likely to be involved in relegation battles for the entirety of the campaign, making this meeting a crucial six-pointer, with Darmstadt coming into it at the right time after securing their first win of the season last weekend.
However, Augsburg clearly possess far more experience at this level and they showed plenty of grit to hold onto victory against Mainz despite falling down to 10-men in their last home game, so we will back them to earn another crucial win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.26) 
