SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
74.15% ( -0.04) | 14.56% ( 0.02) | 11.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.61% ( -0.01) | 25.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.02) | 45.42% ( 0.02) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.15% ( -0.01) | 5.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.54% ( -0.03) | 22.46% ( 0.03) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.24% ( 0.03) | 34.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.51% ( 0.03) | 71.49% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 8.19% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.81% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.07% 5-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 4.59% Total : 74.16% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 14.56% | 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.29% |
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