SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
51.79% ( 0.43) | 23.53% ( 0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( -0.45) | 44.77% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( -0.43) | 67.13% ( 0.43) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( -0.01) | 17.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( -0.02) | 47.66% ( 0.01) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( -0.6) | 32.03% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.5% ( -0.69) | 68.49% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.68% |
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