SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
39.93% ( 1.38) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 34.3% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.27) | 49.38% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -0.24) | 71.42% ( 0.24) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( 0.61) | 24.39% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( 0.85) | 58.81% ( -0.85) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.96) | 27.57% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( -1.25) | 63.09% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.93% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.3% |
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