Stuttgart have a very impressive home record against VfL Bochum, and they have won the last two matches between the two sides, so we expect them to kick off their campaign with a win this weekend.
Bochum have already been knocked out of the DFB Pokal against a side playing two divisions below them, so we do not think they stand much chance of getting a positive result this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.05) 
