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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.38%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 3-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (2.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
81.38% ( -0.18) | 11.75% ( 0.06) | 6.87% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.48% ( 0.18) | 26.52% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.11% ( 0.23) | 46.88% ( -0.23) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.1% ( 0) | 4.9% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.34% ( 0.01) | 19.66% ( -0.02) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.46) | 44.68% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.32% ( 0.37) | 80.68% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 3-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.57% Total : 81.38% | 1-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.02% Total : 11.75% | 1-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 6.87% |
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