With both teams only winning once in the Bundesliga so far this season, there is unlikely to be much confidence on display at Vonovia Ruhrstadion on Saturday, especially with Koln heading into the contest sitting bottom of the table.
Bochum have proven tougher to beat than their opponents, but they have failed to win at home with three draws and one defeat. We can envisage them having to share the spoils once again with so much at stake in this potential relegation six-pointer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
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