Bochum have drawn more than half of their matches this season, but their lack of wins means that they have been unable to make significant progress in terms of moving up the table, despite becoming harder to beat.
Given that Wolfsburg have lost their last five away matches, we can envisage both managers settling for a point on Saturday, with attacking quality likely to be at a premium at Vonovia-Ruhrstadion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
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