We do not expect to see a classic between these sides on Saturday, with Wolfsburg settling into life under a new manager and Werder re-establishing themselves at this level. As such, a share of the spoils feels likely, with both managers potentially content to stay unbeaten ahead of a long campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
33.44% ( -0.36)	23.68% ( 0.06)	42.88% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 61.9% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01% (

-0.4)

39.99% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.65% (

-0.42)

62.35% (

0.41)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

-0.39)

23.6% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32% (

-0.57)

57.67% (

0.56)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

-0.04)

18.97% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49% (

-0.06)

50.51% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 33.44%

Werder Bremen 42.88%

Draw 23.67%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 33.44%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 42.88%