MX23RW : Tuesday, August 16 12:48:28
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Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Werder Bremen

We do not expect to see a classic between these sides on Saturday, with Wolfsburg settling into life under a new manager and Werder re-establishing themselves at this level. As such, a share of the spoils feels likely, with both managers potentially content to stay unbeaten ahead of a long campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
33.44% (-0.359 -0.36) 23.68% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 42.88% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.9% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.403 -0.4)39.99% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65% (-0.418 -0.42)62.35% (0.413 0.41)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)23.6% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.566 -0.57)57.67% (0.56 0.56)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)18.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)50.51% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 33.44%
    Werder Bremen 42.88%
    Draw 23.67%
WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 42.88%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, July 30 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 Brentford
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-0 Mainz 05
Friday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-2 Werder Bremen
Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Jahn
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Friday, April 29 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
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