SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Arsenal |
49.94% ( 1.5) | 23.49% ( -0.4) | 26.56% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.95) | 42.96% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 0.94) | 65.36% ( -0.94) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( 0.94) | 17.32% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.31% ( 1.62) | 47.69% ( -1.62) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( -0.32) | 29.58% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( -0.39) | 65.61% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.94% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.57% |
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