MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 03:22:08
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Real Madrid vs. Bayern: 15 hrs 37 mins
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RM
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
BL

Real Madrid
vs.
Bayern

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Real Madrid 3-2 Bayern Munich (Real Madrid win 5-4 on aggregate)

Real Madrid simply do not know the meaning of the word boring when it comes to Champions League knockout fixtures, which Ancelotti's side almost always possess the secret recipe for success for, especially in front of the white-clad Bernabeu crowd. Bayern may be able to put out a near full-strength team as their injury situation eases, but they have been carved open at will on the road in 2024, and such defensive frailties could prove fatal as Real edge a mesmerising matchup to advance to Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Bayern Munich has a probability of 31.52% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.73%) and 1-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win is 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.03%).

Result
Real MadridDrawBayern Munich
46.67% (-0.245 -0.24) 21.81% (0.146 0.15) 31.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 68.07% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.44% (-0.675 -0.67)31.56% (0.674 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.95% (-0.798 -0.8)53.05% (0.797 0.8)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)14.22% (0.333 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.655 -0.66)41.96% (0.653 0.65)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.276 -0.28)20.64% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.437 -0.44)53.21% (0.436 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 46.67%
    Bayern Munich 31.52%
    Draw 21.81%
Real MadridDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.52% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.67%
1-1 @ 9.03% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.38% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.63% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.66% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, May 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Real Madrid (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-5 Bayern
Saturday, April 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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