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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
KL

Dortmund
2 - 0
FC Koln

Hazard (40'), Tigges (64')
Meunier (51'), Bellingham (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schmitz (11'), Hubers (56'), Ozcan (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Koln
66.61%19.29%14.09%
Both teams to score 51.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36%11.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33%36.67%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.3%41.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.83%78.17%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 66.6%
    FC Koln 14.09%
    Draw 19.29%
Borussia DortmundDrawFC Koln
2-0 @ 11.22%
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.04%
4-0 @ 4.33%
4-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 3.08%
5-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.13%
0-0 @ 4.85%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 19.29%
0-1 @ 4.25%
1-2 @ 3.99%
0-2 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 14.09%

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