Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
