SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
32.72% ( 0.22) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 42.01% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( 0.45) | 47.57% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( 0.41) | 69.78% ( -0.41) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.36) | 27.67% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% ( 0.13) | 22.56% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% ( 0.2) | 56.15% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.01% |
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