SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
31.2% ( -0.21) | 23% ( -0.07) | 45.8% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( 0.24) | 37.61% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.16% ( 0.26) | 59.84% ( -0.26) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.01) | 23.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( -0.01) | 57.91% ( 0.01) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( 0.2) | 16.84% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.16% ( 0.36) | 46.84% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.29% Total : 45.8% |
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