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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 29, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
EF

Holstein Kiel
2 - 4
Frankfurt

Machino (30' pen., 50')
Porath (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marmoush (25', 65'), Matanovic (47'), Tuta (74')
Amenda (35'), Koch (70'), Larsson (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt

Considering the strong form of the visitors in recent Bundesliga matches, they should be favourites in Sunday's game. However, after Eintracht Frankfurt's Europa League exploits last Thursday, it would not be surprising if Holstein Kiel created opportunities due to the away team's fatigue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
31.2% (-0.21 -0.21) 23% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 45.8% (0.281 0.28)
Both teams to score 63.4% (0.151 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (0.242 0.24)37.61% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (0.259 0.26)59.84% (-0.26 -0.26)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)57.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16% (0.202 0.2)16.84% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.16% (0.35899999999999 0.36)46.84% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 31.2%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 45.8%
    Draw 22.99%
Holstein KielDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.41% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 45.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, September 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Alemannia Aachen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, August 17 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-0 Holstein Kiel
Monday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Plzen
Thursday, September 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Braunschweig 1-4 Frankfurt
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal


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