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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
WB

Frankfurt
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Friedl (7' og.), Kolo (52')
Max (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Stark (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Werder Bremen

This should be an entertaining match between two teams who prefer to attack than defend, but Frankfurt should have enough quality to secure all three points with home advantage on their side. Werder's leaky defence is likely to prove accommodating to the burgeoning presence of Randal Kolo Muani, with himself and Niclas Fullkrug both enjoying growing reputations after enjoying superb individual World Cup campaigns with France and Germany respectively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 21.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
57.46% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.36% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 21.17% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 59.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)38.86% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.035999999999994 0.04)61.18% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)13.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.23% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.037999999999997 0.04)31.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)68.26% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 57.46%
    Werder Bremen 21.17%
    Draw 21.36%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.62%
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 57.46%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.36%
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 21.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Frankfurt
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, February 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Union Berlin
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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