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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 8
Oct 16, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
LL

Freiburg
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Woo-yeong (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
22.74%22.27%54.98%
Both teams to score 58.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.89%41.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5%63.5%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32%31.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91%68.09%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.11%14.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.23%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 22.74%
    RB Leipzig 54.98%
    Draw 22.27%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.93%
1-0 @ 5.42%
2-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.74%
1-1 @ 10.32%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.27%
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 8.55%
1-3 @ 6.25%
0-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.97%
0-4 @ 2.59%
2-4 @ 1.71%
1-5 @ 1.13%
0-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 54.98%

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