Heidenheim are clearly a spirited outfit and they will carry plenty of excitement during the club's debut campaign in the Bundesliga, but scoring goals could become a major problem for them at this level.
Despite losing to Freiburg on the opening day, Hoffenheim have recruited smartly during the transfer window and they improved under Matarazzo's tutelage towards the end of last season. We can envisage them collecting all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
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