SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.59% ( -0.36) | 22.92% ( 0.14) | 29.49% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 62.64% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.56) | 38.15% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.6) | 60.43% ( 0.6) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( -0.34) | 16.38% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.98% ( -0.62) | 46.01% ( 0.62) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( -0.15) | 25.08% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.23% ( -0.2) | 59.76% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.56% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.49% |
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