SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.03%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 0-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
23.92% ( 0.01) | 21.05% ( 0.01) | 55.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.05) | 33.91% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.25% ( -0.06) | 55.76% ( 0.06) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.02) | 26.73% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( -0.03) | 61.99% ( 0.03) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( -0.02) | 12.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.63% ( -0.05) | 38.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0)3-4 @ 1% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
