With Leipzig and Hoffenheim heading in opposite directions of late, a comfortable victory for the hosts is expected at the Red Bull Arena on Sunday. The home side have been unstoppable for much of this calendar year so far, and with them boasting home advantage, and Hoffenheim missing several players, they should have no problem seeing off their opponents to strengthen their hold on a top-four spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Hoffenheim
64.9%	19.08%	16.02%

Both teams to score 57.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.39%

36.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.24%

58.76%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39%

10.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.58%

34.41%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.31%

72.69%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 64.9%

Hoffenheim 16.02%

Draw 19.08%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.34% 3-0 @ 7.17% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.9%	1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08%	1-2 @ 4.48% 0-1 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.02%