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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
43.84% ( 1.86) | 22.69% ( -0.48) | 33.47% ( -1.39) |
| Both teams to score 65.62% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.88% ( 2.01) | 35.12% ( -2.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.87% ( 2.21) | 57.12% ( -2.22) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( 1.56) | 16.62% ( -1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( 2.74) | 46.44% ( -2.75) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.2) | 21.3% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( 0.32) | 54.23% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.15)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.54% Total : 43.84% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.37)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.54)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.39)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.68% Total : 33.47% |
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