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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 12, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
EF

FC Koln
3 - 0
Frankfurt

Hubers (49'), Skhiri (71', 86')
Martel (28'), Hubers (68'), Chabot (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buta (45+2'), Gotze (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

With Frankfurt drawing each of their last three away matches in the Bundesliga 1-1, it is hard to envisage a different scoreline in Cologne on Sunday. The hosts should be much fresher having not played in midweek, especially with Frankfurt only making two changes to their starting XI (one of which was enforced after Lindstrom's injury). A share of the spoils would not represent a bad result for either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawEintracht Frankfurt
42.51% (0.689 0.69) 25.23% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 32.25% (-0.729 -0.73)
Both teams to score 55.95% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (-0.387 -0.39)47.57% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.361 -0.36)69.78% (0.35600000000001 0.36)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.68% (0.161 0.16)22.32% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.21% (0.242 0.24)55.79% (-0.247 -0.25)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)27.97% (0.646 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-0.837 -0.84)63.61% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 42.51%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 32.25%
    Draw 25.23%
FC KolnDrawEintracht Frankfurt
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.194 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 0-0 FC Koln
Sunday, January 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 FC Koln
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 7-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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