SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 56.05%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Werder Bremen |
56.05% ( -0.71) | 20.97% ( 0.22) | 22.97% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 63.17% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.34% ( -0.46) | 34.65% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.39% ( -0.52) | 56.6% ( 0.52) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% ( -0.35) | 12.39% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% ( -0.74) | 38.27% ( 0.74) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( 0.14) | 27.89% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( 0.17) | 63.5% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 56.05% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.97% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 22.97% |
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