SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
57.1% ( 0.07) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 20.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.01) | 43.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.02) | 66.08% ( 0.01) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.92% ( 0.02) | 15.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.4% ( 0.03) | 43.6% ( -0.03) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.91% ( -0.06) | 35.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.16% ( -0.06) | 71.84% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.09% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.26% | 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.64% |
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