Despite Koln's strong return to action, Leipzig are beating almost everything put in front of them under Rose and will give Baumgart's side the ultimate test here.
Koln's 0-0 draw with Schalke was their first clean sheet in 14 games, and 10 of the 11 meetings between the sides have seen both teams score, so goals are to be expected in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
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