SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
29.42% ( -0.48) | 23.2% ( -0.13) | 47.37% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 61.57% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( 0.32) | 39.54% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.33) | 61.89% ( -0.34) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.15) | 25.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( -0.2) | 60.78% ( 0.19) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.35) | 16.99% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( 0.62) | 47.1% ( -0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 29.42% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.51% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.37% |
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