This is likely to be a tight match between two relatively evenly-matched teams, but Koln's lack of offensive firepower due to several injury issues could end up costing them.
Despite missing Nmecha due to injury yet again, Wolfsburg retain several technically proficient attacking options, with Wind set to be full of confidence after bagging a brace against Heidenheim. We can envisage a marginal away win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wolfsburg in this match.
-0.44) 
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