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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
 
HB

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Guirassy (3'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Mavropanos (34'), Egloff (57'), Sosa (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lukebakio (19')
Kempf (31'), Richter (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hertha Berlin

With both teams fearful of falling to another defeat, we can envisage a share of the spoils in Stuttgart on Tuesday. The visitors have arguably looked the more settled unit for more of this season so far, but they have struggled to convert performances into results and may have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawHertha Berlin
56.26% (0.146 0.15) 21.9% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 21.84% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.2% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53% (0.156 0.16)40.47% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15% (0.16 0.16)62.85% (-0.166 -0.17)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.74% (0.096000000000004 0.1)14.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.97% (0.193 0.19)42.02% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 56.26%
    Hertha Berlin 21.84%
    Draw 21.9%
StuttgartDrawHertha Berlin
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 56.26%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 21.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Stuttgart
Friday, November 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 Augsburg
Saturday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 5-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 6-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 4-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Schalke
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, October 15 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, October 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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