SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
8.63% ( -0.07) | 11.8% ( 0.03) | 79.57% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.79% ( -0.45) | 19.21% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.66) | 36.96% ( 0.66) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( -0.56) | 34.25% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( -0.61) | 70.95% ( 0.61) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.2% ( -0.08) | 3.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.78% ( -0.26) | 16.22% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 8.63% | 1-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.39% Total : 11.8% | 1-3 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.59% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 6.65% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.2% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.13)0-5 @ 4.06% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)1-6 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)0-6 @ 2.21% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-6 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)1-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)0-7 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.42% Total : 79.57% |
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