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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
 
DL

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Dortmund

Losilla (5')
Soares (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adeyemi (7')
Adeyemi (43'), Haller (43'), Terzic (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Bochum's previously strong home record under Letsch has almost entirely evaporated across their recent run of games on home soil, and there is a sense of destiny surrounding Dortmund's title charge. While this looks set to be one of BVB's most difficult remaining fixtures considering that their opponents are fighting against relegation, we expect Terzic's side to get themselves over the line and make the first step towards ending Bayern's 11-year dominance in the Bundesliga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
22.13% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 19.18% (-0.035 -0.04) 58.69% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 68.93% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76% (0.10599999999999 0.11)47.24% (-0.11 -0.11)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)58.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.049999999999997 0.05)9.26% (-0.052099999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.71% (0.11799999999999 0.12)31.29% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 22.13%
    Borussia Dortmund 58.69%
    Draw 19.18%
VfL BochumDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.17% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.13%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 3.02% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 58.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, April 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-3 Stuttgart
Sunday, April 9 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 31 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-3 Dortmund
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 6-1 FC Koln
Saturday, March 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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